#19 - Lightspeed India on the rise of Indian tech
Balaji Srinivasan 0:00
All right. Hemanth, welcome to the never seen podcast. So you introduce
yourself. You’re at lightspeed. We worked here at a 68
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 0:06
Go ahead. Yeah, thank you for having me. Been looking forward to this
for a long time. Balaji, yeah. So for the folks that don’t know me, I’m
amanpathra and all the partners at lightspeed. Lightspeed is a global
venture capital firm. They invest across different regions. Basically,
we are
Balaji Srinivasan 0:20
wherever entrepreneurship is, and India is like 1.8 bill, something like
that. India, you manage
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 0:25
about 1.5 to 1.8 bill, in the capital, very early stage focus. He also
goes from there, presence in China, presence in Europe, presence in the
US and Pavel, we don’t have an office or team. We certainly have
investments later in America, African victims, yeah. And then before
light speed, I was at CNC, would I make you? And then I was like, Yeah,
known you for maybe seven, eight years before that even, Oh, absolutely,
which is a fun story that I don’t think you would remember. So before he
succeeds, he held at Google, yes. And I was part of this small team of
people, led by a guy named David Glaser, genius. Little guy was trying
to, kind of saw the wave of his thesis was added in 10 years from then,
the next Nobel Laureate in biome, PA, bio statistician, perfect, not
yeah at Merricks, not a
Balaji Srinivasan 1:12
not a better, which is happened with domestics. Yeah. This happened
originally, two years
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:17
back So, and what was Google is all going to be there. You’re going to
be the computer. The computer providers for that. So you pull together a
small group of people, and they call it Google Genomics, and one of the
people you want to work with was a company called console. That’s right,
my friend, yes, yeah. So you were there. So I remember getting on a
bunch of phone calls, trying very hard to get in touch with you, and
then getting on a phone call with you, trying to convince AWS, Google
Cloud to do all the
Balaji Srinivasan 1:42
analysis. I may remember this, that’s right. And I think we were, I
think we were using AWS at the time, or something like that, probably.
And I was just like, I mean, Google was great, but I was, I remember,
actually, was that time of App Engine? App Engine was popular there?
Yeah. And the problem was, App Engine, before Google Cloud, was
something that, if you’re just doing exactly what Google wanted you to
do, it works. And, but then, if it was almost like a blog, where, like,
if you if you want to do just a blog, it was fine, but if you want to do
something outside of it, it wasn’t right.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 2:12
It was just like Java. And I think about Java is it’ll let you not do
anything stupid, but won’t let you do anything smart either. Yeah,
that’s right.
Balaji Srinivasan 2:20
That’s right, that’s right. And, and I think, I mean, Cloud has
obviously evolved a lot since then. And, you know, with the whole
genomics thing, by the way, what’s funny about, sorry, we’re gonna say
something more. Yeah, so with the whole genomics thing, that is a space
which should be much bigger, and it’s kind of been quietly growing,
like, I mean, 23 me recently went bankrupt, unfortunately, but with 2023
me answer.com like, sequencing has really radically increased, right?
But it hasn’t increased as much as it should. Like, everybody should
have a personal genome on their computer, and so it should be an
important file. It should be an app that’s top of mind. And part of the
reason it hasn’t is that FDA attacked the whole space and basically said
that you can’t offer interpretations of genetic tests and results and so
on and so forth. And we’re now very fortunate that it’s gotten beaten
back, because with AI, you can now interpret genetic tests diagnostic
software can do that, it comes up better than a doctor can, right? The
entire concept of, oh, you can’t use AI to interpret your own test
results was the kind of thing that that FDA would have blocked AI from
doing and said it’s an unregulated medical device. All those things have
to be censored. It has to be bottleneck through a doctor, right? So we
may be able to take a crack at that now that the regulatory state can’t
block that anymore, right? Yeah, or at least much less powerful than it
was. And so AI enabled medicine is going to be a big thing, but it
required so much infrastructure to sort of break past the regulatory
state, the American regulatory state, in order to do that on and I don’t
know if you guys, was that on your radar at that time? No, not the not
the regulatory
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 3:59
part, probably the regular part we did not care about. They try a lot to
get to what you would call the baseline study of human populations. So
at least have a baseline genome kind of right already. And then, you
know, because Google, being Google, they tried it in a way that people
did not like, yeah, very sussed, right? Very couldn’t trust a big
conglomerate like Google. So nobody would upload their genomic data.
This
Balaji Srinivasan 4:21
is a Google Health and they tried
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 4:22
to, yeah, exactly right. So my team learned a lot of that, and then
didn’t work out. And we want to build a federated data set that Roche
could use at some time, or if Pfizer could use, or they, or clinic could
use for germline studies or specific, you know, like rare diseases. And
their data really matters a lot, and we just couldn’t get there. That’s
the context of that we met very briefly. And I remember, I’ve tracked
your journey for many, many years, and, you know, plugged in touch, and
finally,
Balaji Srinivasan 4:48
yeah, it’s good. And I think in e6, ns, z1, of the reasons I got into
BTC was the cause and crypto, in terms of is I only when I started
company, and. Understand how big a deal the regulatory state was, and it
was only it was DNA that, in a sense, made me get into BTC, right?
Because as as an academic, the government is basically friendly to some
of the.ed address. Once you go to.com they think of you as like an evil
for profit company, especially in a regulated industry, the regulators
are like the police, right? And if you understand how there can be
sometimes bad police, you understand how there can be bad regulators,
right? And so this was something where I realized actually, you know, do
you go and try and reform this? Do you make this or that edit around the
process? And certainly people have tried that. But ultimately, I realize
it’s actually easier, just like, it’s easier to start Bitcoin than
reform the Fed, it’s actually, like, actually easier to do that, right?
It’s easier to get a new jurisdiction than to perform the FDA, right?
It’s easier to start a new city than reform San Francisco. That’s
fundamentally the premise, right? And there’s a lot of people who are
working on reform. And you know, reform, there’s power of it’s 99 to
one, something like that. More than that, 99.9 99.99 but we do need to
be able to opt out the existing system and build something else. Rail,
and it’s funny, there’s all kinds of verbal tricks that people will use,
like to keep you within the existing system and say, Oh my God, you’re a
trader. Why are you leaving your you know, right? Or, you know, your
coward, why don’t you stay and fight, or something like that, right? Or,
you know, you need to be part of the process. You can’t just, you know,
leave, you know, this kind of thing. And I understand where that comes
from. And sometimes, obviously, you don’t leave in a precipitate way,
you know, you try to fix it and so forth, but, but at a certain point
and everybody’s points is different, you realize that system cannot be
fixed, right? And further capital, further time for their energy going
after it doesn’t work. That’s what Elon just realized. Yeah. He
literally tweeted out, did my best, yeah, right. So you know what comes
next, right? Anyway, go ahead. Yeah.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 6:59
It’s interesting, because reminded me of and we should talk about your
Bitcoin journey a little bit. Are you curious about that too? So it’s
what you’re saying about it is sometimes easier to create a new system
versus change an existing only system. It seems to be true as long as
mathia as almost as far back as Indian mythology has been around, and
even then, it was easier to build a new heaven versus to elevate
yourselves into the old heaven. So it makes sense that you’re trying to
do what you’re trying to do. Yeah. Admire you for
Balaji Srinivasan 7:30
us. Yeah. Well, thank you. I appreciate that. And I think, well, you
know, one thing I want to do is actually, So, speaking of India, let’s
maybe, why don’t we talk about India, for people who don’t know anything
about India, and then India for people who know something about India,
especially Indian tech, right? So, you know, the thing about India is
for people who are Anglophones, right? Like basically English speakers,
they could essentially, especially Americans, not the British, of
course, because they had a long history with India. But most Americans,
many Anglophones, could ignore India until pretty recently. Right until
last, the Indians were more and more prominent in tech, starting with
vanilla Khosla and so on and so forth, and more and more in the 2000s
but really, India has kind of only popped on the radar in the last few
years. For example, Ukraine is the first international issue where I can
recall Americans, Europeans and so on, being concerned as to where
India’s position was. Nobody cared where India’s position was on Iraq
that I can remember. Nobody care what its position was on the financial
crisis that I can remember, nor on Syria that, at least that I can
remember right like but it has now become enough of a global player that
people did care about tradition on Ukraine and so. So because that,
people need to know something about India, right? So obviously, the
basics, 1.4 billion people, it’s, you know, this multi 1000 year old
civilization. One thing most people don’t know is India is actually a
union like the European Union, like the United States, right? Why don’t
you talk about that, all these different cultures and so on there?
Yeah.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 9:07
So I’ll go very far back when, very quickly, come to the present day,
and tell you what’s been going on. Very old piece of land, lots of
complicated history. It used, it used to be a union, more around
different religious practices that ended up becoming tribes, and tribes
ended up becoming states, and states ended up coming together to build a
nation. But from the very beginning, it was always five or 10 tribes
that were kind of dominating in India. There were southern tribes, there
were Northeastern tribes, there were, you know, northern tribes and so
on, eastern tribes, and we expanded in all the way out to Iran,
Afghanistan for the longest time. So the first and already 4000 years
ago, 2000 BC, 3000 BC. This was, you know, what Indian diaspora looked
like in Am I getting off a variety of cultures and and so on, spreading,
you know, all the way to Afghanistan, Iran. Left, and then, you know, to
the right. And at that point, and for the longest time of India, India’s
history, we were almost a quarter to a third of the global economy.
That’s that chart that shows, yeah, if it goes from 30% and then it kind
of, very quickly shrinks. The last 500 years, left 2% with the rulers
that have come from pretty much everywhere around to occupy India. But
so longest time, China and India were the dominant, you know, players in
the global economy. And the global economy was part manufacturing,
whatever manufacturing meant back then, far trade and so on. And in
country, obviously, was a big part. And then that probably stayed till
that, you know, for about two to 3000 years, that kind of stayed very
stable. It doesn’t really change that much. There’s a bit of up and down
here, but doesn’t change much. And that’s been the history of India, I
also, to a certain extent, China, four or 500 years ago, of course. And
we’ll talk more about that. The bigger you get, the more attention you
grab. And India build roads to the world, the roads also come to you. It
becomes easier for people to come to you. And that’s what started to
happen a peaceful land, uh, peaceful people when you know, not so
peaceful people coming right, especially around the Northwest, yeah, and
probably more ambition. It’s fine. And if they’re fair to say, they may
have had more ambition to occupy. They may have had more ambition to
start with Alex, we’re going even further back. Yeah, correct. So,
cultural differences and then
Balaji Srinivasan 11:35
northeast that much because it’s impassable to the Himalayas, yes,
yeah,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 11:39
yeah. So majority of it came from the left and off, yeah. And then the
once a state like that, which is anyway loosely put together, a group of
people that are somewhat cooperating versus collaborating, when it
starts to crack. The cracks, don’t, you know, disappear very quickly. So
we had, you know, one crack appear with the Islamic State coming in and
occupying and then that crack continued reserve, you know, extend from
there. And then, of course, the Britishers came, and at one point, I
remember the math, but then they took out about $40 trillion of, you
know, some give very large number in today’s dollars, back to, you know,
eight dominions. And then India, basically shrine from being a hyper
capital, GB, country with manufacturing, trade and agriculture to
basically, uh, success level, uh, GDP, and primarily a resource state
for other countries. And then that was, this is fast forward to maybe,
you know, maybe 100 years ago, right? Uh, 50 said, 70 years ago,
roughly. And then we got independent, from independence to now, and I
had the story of how states change shape and philosophy, I feel like,
and maybe this has happened with other companies, and we should talk
more about that. You have this period of shape. Country goes through a
period of shape, and a country goes through a period of regret, a period
of realization, a period of hard work, and then a period of a sentence,
yeah, and these things can take 7080, 100 years. Sometimes it depends on
a lot of factors.
Balaji Srinivasan 13:15
Of course, it’s usually say of regret, right? Because I would not so the
realization. I’d say 1991 when India liberalized, hard work may last 30
years. And now a sentence, right? Why would you characterize regret as
or is that not the right word? I call it socialism. Yeah, right.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 13:34
Socialism, yeah. I don’t know if the population regrets it. I certainly
think people who could have taken decisions differently. Might regret
it. Limit of say that we were, yeah, we were that right? And look at our
history and all that, and you carry the video, but then you look at the
president like, oh my god, like, I’m a two person, BDP, country, right?
World, and where was I in my own memory, you would say 100 years ago,
you probably were in powerful state back then. So that regret leads to,
you know, hard work and eventually, eventually, hard
Balaji Srinivasan 14:08
work once there’s acceptance of we’re not great anymore, and we mark
down and we’re at zero, and kind of people keep quit thrashing and
screaming, they’re like, Okay, we have to build our way back up. Nothing
but for it, right? Yeah. And, you know, it’s funny, like, Argentina
seems to have maybe bottomed out, and may finally be there, el salva
maybe bottomed out, and now it’s, like, on its way up. China bottomed
out. It’s on its way up, you know? Well, it sounds really improving. I
think I don’t know if it’s bottomed out, yeah, like, but they definitely
have crashed, right? Um, Vietnam bottom down as long as the way up. Um,
so, yes, okay, so basics India has, so one thing, it’s a union, right?
So a lot of people don’t know that India has like, in a sense, the
difference in a like, a 2 million or telugu person and a Gujarati is
like difference between a Italian and a. Fan, right? Because, like, you
know, the North and South, like these are pretty different cultures.
There is certainly now an Indian Union. And people travel from one part
another to India, trade across India. And nobody really thinks about it,
the there’s a cards Union or the repeat, there’s transit links. You
know, English and Hindi have become nationalizing languages. People
marry across various religions, and, you know, regions and some sort of,
actually, pretty, pretty frequently. And so all of that, it actually the
union has actually become a real thing. In a sense, it is more unified
than any point it’s ever been in this history. I think, yes, would you
say, you know,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 15:35
I feel like it’s a little bit having lived in Europe for a while. I feel
like it feels like the European Union, yeah, with the more nationalism
than Europe. Yeah, more nationalism. So, so European Union, with more
fluid and weak memory of individual cultures that don’t go as far back.
Interesting, because I’m from Orissa, but I know there is a culture like
from Kalinga days, like 1000s of years ago and Ashoka was borrowed by
and all that. I would have such a strong memory that attaches me to
Kalinga, interesting, but a German would probably go by 1000s of years
and remember what you’re
Balaji Srinivasan 16:10
in Italian as Rome and stuff like this, right? So there’s less cultural
memories, less cultural memory,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 16:16
even though it’s loosely put together, union state, unit opinion of
states, it has less cultural memories specific to the state. I guess
language is the main one. Language is the main Gujarati, moly Ali,
correct? I know, right. And there is the literature that is more
specific. And I would say maybe even the last 50 years, that memory has
faded. 50, 6070, years ago, Bengal used to be the literary hub of the
country. Abhinav Tagore was part of that, and Satyajit Ray was part of
that. And today, I don’t know if, I mean, there’s a south that has a
Bollywood type industry called Tollywood, and there’s whatever, but then
I still, personally don’t feel like there is that much dense cultural
memory that used to exist, probably ended 200 years
Balaji Srinivasan 16:58
ago. Why is that? Do the British and then the moves before? Yeah,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 17:01
English has played a big part. It’s becomes a common time thread. And
you know, over the last 3040, 50 years, like you said, trade has become
a little bit more easier between states. And, you know, travel, you
know, it’s you don’t require a fast boat to travel anywhere in India.
Currency is the same, and you are you basically still Hawking back to a
single citizenship, so you have that, you know, right? That kind of
thing that ties it together. So it feels like a a more tightly put
together European Union with less cultural memory of individual states
that create that
Balaji Srinivasan 17:37
union that’s compare it to, it’s closer in some ways, I would never have
believed this in the 1980s 1990s when you know we were growing up, but I
assume you’re like, also roughly, yeah. So I’ve never have believed
this. But in many ways, India is now more similar to the America the
1950s where it has like a unifying national ideology, and many like,
just like you have poles and Italians and, you know, English and Germans
and all these different European ethnicities in America, but there’s
like, a common creed, common culture, common currency. That’s kind of
what India is, yeah, um, to an extent that I wouldn’t have actually
believed had I not seen it with my own eyes. And one of the consequences
is, even though sometimes it’s like, two steps forward, one step back.
Like, the public infrastructure is radically improved, radically to an,
like, an unbelievable level. Like, you know, Bangalore airport, the
airports are basically like, world class, yeah, yeah, they’re world
class. There’s, they’re clean, they’re they’re beautiful. And you step
outside and there’s paved roads, and they’re new and and they’re
stoplight. I mean, this kind of stuff sounds so basic, but the basics
are actually hard, because you have to coordinate a lot of people. You
have to get permissions to build, yeah, you know, the government can’t
be corrupt and so, so sometimes it feels two steps forward, one step
back. But for anybody who’s like part of the Indian diaspora who hasn’t
visited India in the last five or 10 years. You definitely have to visit
India and just see how much it’s improved. It’s radically, radically,
radically, radically better than the 80s in the 90s and 1000s,
absolutely.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 19:11
And I remember growing up and I mean, there are things. So coming back
to your question about what is this, where did you grow? I grew up all
over India. My father was in the military, so we kept holding a signal,
you have military jaw. I don’t know that existed. Okay, the Chad. The
Chad, thank you. I appreciate it. But yeah, I grew up in the 80s, and I,
frankly, grew up without, you know, I grew up in a small village called
Joshua mark, which is, you know, like as a crow flies, maybe 60
kilometers from the border somewhere. Where is that we know at least
called. It was to be called Ultra con show. Obviously, this was part of
up earlier, okay, yeah, and it’s not northeast. It’s more like closer to
young, crispy and, oh, okay, north, north, right? Yeah, north, not and
here, if you know bad enough that that religious place is the last stop
before you got to start walking or take a meal, okay, to get to that
place where your roles don’t really show, take cars. I didn’t used to at
the time, yeah, at the time. So group there, you know, we would have
basically no hot water and gonna boil it. We didn’t have heaters. So we
would have wood in a thing called buchara. But you put wood in and out
of chinny, it goes out
Balaji Srinivasan 20:25
of the house like twice a day, just literally growing up no hot water
that was
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 20:29
low in a very cold place, and no electricity. Because we remember, used
to use this thing called petromax to study at nine stuff, which a
beautiful part of my life. I remember, I’m in a heartbeat retire in the
Himalayas.
Balaji Srinivasan 20:43
The thing I’ve said, like, because of that, because so many Indians have
an upbringing that’s like that they are in general, like, I’m there’s a
daily setback or something like that. But in general, the trajectory has
just been, yeah,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 20:56
yeah, you’re absolutely right. Two steps forward, one step back,
sometimes two steps back. But there is absolutely a crediting ferocity
that’s happening in India. And like gradually you are ferociously moving
up and up and up, yes.
Balaji Srinivasan 21:07
And from, know how, broader to finding out startups,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 21:11
yeah, finding out startup, yeah. So now let’s fast forward a little bit
from the 80s 90s, which was, I would say, maybe the transition created
for India when in London, 90s, man, one thing kind of opened up the
economy, and then, you know, foreign companies could come and, you know,
create competition in the local economy before what was called right
license Raj. Like to get a license to do a business, you have to get a
license from the government. I was kind of ridiculous, but glad I’m not.
I was not a VC back then. I don’t think you could ever do anything like
that, but risk taking was essentially not allowed. Likely, a lot more
socialistic 90s, we opened up, and then, I think, since then, you know,
we were, I don’t know, maybe 500 $600 million GDP country, and now we
are sitting at roughly 4 trillion. A lot of the that growth has happened
in the last, you know, 10 to 15 years, and we’ve gone through multiple
regime changes, and demographics have changed, and now I feel like now
it’s coming together in a way where society is hungry. There is a
government that is not a group of politicians who are politicking. It
feels like in good pockets, good number of pockets. It’s a government
that is interested in industry. Because for India, one of the that’s
that’s
Balaji Srinivasan 22:30
a big thing, like, the government is actually now interested in building
the platform that Indians can build on, right as opposed to just taking
the money or we have, like they’ve come in a positive direction, which
is, it’s way easier to have a government that goes corrupt than to one
have one that actually ascends and becomes, you know, better,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 22:48
yeah, and it’s, it’s, you know, it’s a, it’s been a journey, I can tell
you very openly, as corruption is still a problem in India, and maybe
the low level stock is still hard to do. But again, the whole point of
being, you know, stepping forward, or slowly we’re stepping forward, but
not moving back. I think that feels like it’s in monotonically
increasing pace that India is at. And I was in the US. I grew up in
India. I was in the US from all three till 2018 and I moved back in 2018
and I remember writing about it online, a piece that if you Google
return for India, this still shows up in the first page. And I was quite
shocked that it shows up, because I was getting so many people thinking
on LinkedIn like, Oh, you’re filing space. I remembering it all. This is
actually become a popular piece. And I remember talking about it that
when I moved back from us to India in 2018 I had to change very little
about my life. I replaced Hulu with all star. Netflix worked in the US
the same way in India, Amazon worked the same way it worked in India. I
had to replace Lyft with Ola and Uber works exactly the same. And I
still have my US credit card and my Uber, yeah, because there’s no ODP
right? Stuff going on, it just goes through and what else like, you
know, I WhatsApp as payments, said, all those things just worked out
completely fine for me. That’s
Balaji Srinivasan 24:09
because I think internet first is actually the way I think about the
world versus country first, right?
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 24:17
Yeah, it’s a great point. I was living in it. I didn’t realize it. I was
not living as much in the physical infrastructure as I was living in the
vigil infrastructure, yes, in the US. And all I had to do was I
literally moved back at two bags. It’s two bags of 15 years of life, two
big bags. I had to buy it
Balaji Srinivasan 24:33
or known it. It was offline stuff, the Fiat stuff that took longer, the
cloud stuff. You could just log in and get back to work,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 24:39
right? I had no house and no car, no scooter, no motorcycle, nothing.
Yeah,
Balaji Srinivasan 24:44
the only thing you have to change, like, maybe you have to get
residency. You have OCI
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 24:49
or, yeah, I was an H 1b for 15 years in the US, oh, god, yeah. And I
just didn’t have a green card, okay, but I just ships it. So that was
easy. That was easy, yeah, sorry, yeah. I. But even if I were a green
card holder, OCI now is easy to get, so you basically have a digital
passport of sorts, and you live in two countries. Yeah, overseas says,
yeah, it was a very smooth move. Now, again, I’ll talk more about the
India move if you’re interested. But yeah, it felt like a pretty
straightforward move to me. And then yeah, there was a bit of this. You
know, 20 years ago, 10 years ago, you would feel this culture shock. I
didn’t feel any culture shock. You would 20 years ago, you would feel an
infrastructure shock. I felt a lot less of the infrastructure shock.
Sure, there’s pollution in India, and Delhi is much worse than Bangalore
and Goa is much better than many cities here in the US, and there is
traffic, of course, but I remember being stuck on 101, NSF for many
hours. So it’s not that better or than different, except somebody drives
you, but cheaply in India versus in the US and politics is, is nowhere
in the world is, is good and great. So India is basically no better or
worse than any other country
Balaji Srinivasan 26:01
I you know, the thing is, I disagree. I actually think India will be,
India is going to be, I think a dark horse in terms of, it’s
surprisingly well run. What’s one example, the votes for the recent
election, they were counted in a day, right for a billion person
country. And so while the US, it took like weeks, months to get it done
right. And that just shows that steep capacities on some axes actually
flipped right. UPI is very, very good. Other is very good, if you have
criticisms of these systems. But an identity system that works for a
billion people, a payment system that works for a billion people, a
voting system that works for a billion people, that’s pretty good. Yeah,
right. I mean, ISRO is Lando probe on the Dark Side of the Moon? Yeah.
We have these new, you know, trains. We have these new, you know,
highways and stuff in India, all this kind of stuff that, you know, the
airports, right? And and yet, it’s still, it’s still at the J curve,
it’s still at the bottom of the of the upward trajectory. And the way I
think about that, and I’d love to know your thoughts on it, is, now that
it’s over Lance Geo, we have cheapest, you know, the cheapest 5g
internet service in the world, right? And all of these things we observe
in India, and that’s actually quite new. Yeah. You know, what else am I
missing? Those are pretty there’s a whole tech ecosystem there, right?
Yeah,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 27:28
yeah. So absolutely right. You’re not missing anything big. Maybe what I
would add to that is India a bit the geo thing that happened nine years
ago. Now, I think India has one of the most digitally awake population
in the world in terms of volume in a time this past
Balaji Srinivasan 27:47
period of Appalachia. Yeah. So. So in 2015
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 27:52
vocash Ambani was, you know, the main guys at one of the biggest
conglomerates in India called Lions, basically took this generational he
said that I’m gonna spend 1015, $20 billion and literally put it in blue
ground. He dug up places because, you know, you can’t when you’re that
big. You can take anything you want, and the government will let you to
it. But he did it in a way that actually was quite strategic and really
has changed the nation’s trajectory. He essentially provided, literally
free, and that to the entire country, Indian in India, for those folks
that don’t know, the price of 4g and L, 5g is, let me tell you what I
pay. I pay about 170 rupees per month. And that about two and a half, $2
odd, roughly, for 5g internet, for 5g internet. And I have a three GD
per day limit, so I could donate that piece. I never hit that. Yeah, and
if I don’t hit it, it sometimes, there are some plans that actually
rolls over to the next one signal and watch TV on Netflix on it’s like,
basically 100x that amount in the US. Yeah, yeah. So it was crazy for me
and GX, I don’t exactly something like that, yeah. And Netflix in India
is 699, or whatever it is in the US. I mean, so on and so forth. Sure.
So digital infrastructure has become so cheap, and cell phones cost
maybe less than $100 and
Balaji Srinivasan 29:20
like 79 in the sense of sooner and rupees, rupees,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 29:23
yes, rupees, that’s about less than $10 Yeah. So when Jio essentially
digitized the entire country, they became the rails on which everything
else kind of got built out, quasi public, quasi private infrastructure,
quasi public, or the private. They had the spectrum and kind of all that
good stuff. And now, now we’ve got world’s cheapest phones, and then
most people have several phones. Like, you know, I know people that are
in the up and coming part of society that actually have two phones. You
drive in a Orisha in India, you’ll have two phones, one for all our one
for Uber, and you can take rides on both and be. Are both phones that
probably cost less than $10 rupees. So that’s been very interesting to
see. And on top of that, you could then, you know, when you get
distribution, mass distribution, you can build interesting companies. It
can experiment more quickly and learn what you know, what works for a
consumer versus not. So we start to see is venture ecosystem come up and
take more bets and founders coming up, and, you know, going on building
riskier, riskier things. And then, you know, then we saw, you know,
essentially, this massive amount of entrepreneurial energy, sort of just
really coming out, and just like bursting at the seams. So last 10 years
in India, I’ve just been there six years now, I think it’s been a
remarkable shift in terms of the risk appetite the nation is going to
take, in terms of the infrastructure built out the country is doing. We
spent more in infrastructure built out in the last five to six years
than we spent in the last 70 years since independence, and we are
spending more than what we spend in last seven years, the next five
years.
Balaji Srinivasan 31:04
Well, the nuclear reactors are coming online. That’s a really big one.
Brands will be a thing of the past. Hopefully, if that, if those come
India is actually either number two after China, or it’s either there’s
a graph of nuclear reactors we can put on screen, but plain nuclear
reactors, I think India is number two actually on lots of graphs. On
lots of graphs. For example, steel production, China’s far away number
one. But then when you delete China from the graph, India is the real
distant, but real number two. So that’s on steel, that’s on nuclear, so
solar, so the number of unicorns, for example, it’s us China. Then India
is like distant China, but it is number three, solid, right? So it is
actually really rising, and really, I think, underpriced in the sense
and on the world stage, right? And, of course, it’s possible to over
hype it, it’s possible, but it’s also to under hype it, right? And, you
know, in a sense, I’m, I think I said to you, I’m moderately bullish in
India, but extremely bullish in Indians, right? So India as a system is
getting good enough to be a launch pad for the world, yeah, and, um, you
know, one of the things I think a lot about is this a very and maybe you
have semester, so there’s about 7 million or so Indian Americans, right?
I think that’s a rough, rough number, and they’re doing pretty well,
right, like they are, you know, producing now, now that the second gen
has kind of, you know, started to grow up a bit, you’ve got, you know,
people in politics, like, you know, Vic, or events or or cash Patel. You
have people in in media, like lots of, you know, like M Night shuttle
loves on the first but lots of other folks, obviously, tech, very, very
very gas based, finance and so on and so forth. But, but there’s, like,
way and, of course, medicine, lots of other professions, engineering,
blah, blah. But there’s an interesting the diaspora is done pretty well
in other countries, and it’s certainly in Dubai and the UAE, like,
that’s like, about 80% Indian, and that’s a country that’s doing
extremely, extremely well, right at the UAE and but the question is, how
much potential is still in India, right? Because there’s degree of
selective migration, right? There’s, you know, not many people are
coming to the US or a place if they have an engineering degree or
there’s some qualification. So many back in India are at that talent
bubble. And even if it’s 5% I don’t know the exact number, right? If
it’s 5% that’s like 70 million people out of 1.4 billion, right? That’s
like 10x what the Indian American population is. So that’s a massive new
economic disruptive force on the global stage. That’s like a new Germany
coming on, yeah, right, a New Japan kind of thing, you know, like at
that scale, coming online. And, you know, maybe you have some thoughts
on that,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 33:48
yeah. I think, look, I mean, we obviously are very bullish for India,
maybe has continued to double down over the last 10 to 15 years in
India, we feel like this is where, you know, the maximum alpha is right
now, and you’re right. I think India feels underpriced, even at this
point in time for Indians. Indians underpriced.
Balaji Srinivasan 34:09
Yes, where the finish was saying, I’ll say something. What do
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 34:13
I think about the potential of India? What of it is starting to get
realized? What of it is is is still latent and will be realized. Oddly
enough, I have been a lifetime skeptic of governments, and in the
context of India, I came in skeptical. And one interesting thing that I
realized is do there are two things. One is, if you are a government who
is not proud of your country, you’re not gonna improve the country,
right? If you are a human who’s not proud of your body, you’re not gonna
improve the body. If you’re somebody in a relationship, you’re not proud
of your relationship, for partner, you know, improve your relationship.
So the longest time, I think, India. Suffered. They didn’t have a sense
of national self and pride. Never had a sense of national self. And
there are shades of gray in there. Sure, there’s a lot of you know,
places you can slip and fall and but I think it is an important thing
that ties India and Indians together, wherever they are. And I think
that sense of national self was not there for the longest time. When I
was growing up, people just woke up and complained about India all the
time, right? Or in 80s and 80s, yeah, 80s and 90s, not. I was working as
took two years to get a telephone in your house and for a TV or I was
hanging lines blah, blah, blah. No, I think there is a sense of rising
optimism. There are pockets of pessimism, for sure, but a sense of
rising optimism as a whole and so for So, where am I going with this? I
think, for a country as large as in the eye, 1.4 billion population, you
have a challenge that requires a platform level change to happen. Jio
may have been a platform level change policies and other platform level
change, the kind of governance and
Balaji Srinivasan 36:01
administration 91 liberalization Nigerian. So AC, that was a moment for
people who don’t know from Independence till roughly 91 India was they
actually wrote socialism into the Constitution, any like the socialist
state of India, or something like that. And so, of course, Fabian
socialism, arguably, was the second colonialism, right? Because Fabian
socialism came from Britain, and so it was something that kept India
poor. And it was, you know, all these NGOs were handing out ons. Like,
the whole Mother Teresa thing is meant for country that’s prostrate,
right? And, like, basically, you know, it’s not actually meant. It’s
investment is more. Investment is a real charity, in a sense, because
charity keeps somebody dependent, and investment makes them independent,
right? Yeah. So charity, you know, like I said, if you give a man a
fish, you keep them independent, but if you invest in their fish
company, they might actually do something, right? So until basically,
the late 80s, early 90s, Europe or India was essentially socialist.
India, the license Raj, it was impossible to do anything. And talented
NS were just either, like cat poor, or they left right. And then 1991
because of the crisis, you know, the Soviet Union fell, and so on. And
socialism was clearly not the way to go. India made the right turn. Now,
by the way, that wasn’t guaranteed. Like Cuba remain communist, North
Korea being communist, right? So the right leadership, we saw the right
opportunity at the right time and took the right door, and India went at
least somewhat capitalist, yeah, and there’s still a million. Chris is
you can have, like, air conditioning is taxed, and it’s, by the way, if
there’s one thing we should get all Indian VCs founders and so on.
Basically repeal the tags, the luxury like the Indian Air Conditioning
tax, of all the things, that’s a very simple line item, thing to repeal
will completely transform India, right? Yeah. Jonathan attacks
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 37:54
this, yeah, the dog, you have a new thing where you could not, cannot
put your air conditioning to 19 degrees
Balaji Srinivasan 37:59
Celsius. There’s something stupid like this, right? But at least that
one is a little hard to enforce, or whatever, right? The AC tax, though,
is just, you know, Lee Kuan Yew knew air conditioning was necessary,
right? It wasn’t like an option in that, like a sub, you know, like a,
like a tropical kind of environment, right? But why’d I get on that?
Right? So? Oh yeah. So after 91 capitalism hit India and started to
grow, right for China, it was 1978 so China’s in some metrics, roughly
about 10 years, 13 years ahead of India, roughly. Other metrics, it’s
way ahead. Other metrics, you’d argue it’s even behind in some metrics.
But like China’s diaspora, doesn’t do as well as India’s diaspora, China
plays a better hug game and India plays a better way game, and vice
versa, I’d say, right. But so that was the moment that India turned
capitalist. That’s why India is actually rising now, and I think over
the years to come. You know, China was always the number two communism,
after the Soviet Union for, you know, what, decades. But then the Soviet
Union made a bunch of bad decisions, and basically tried to
ideologically reform for economically reform, and then it just blew
apart in the late 80s, early 90s. And then China, in a sense, became,
quote, the leading brand of communism, right? Even if it doesn’t export
communism, even if doesn’t think its system is the ideal system, it
became the leading brand of communism. And Vietnam and others, you know,
like, basically all look to China, are happy. And now I think we’re on
the verge of something similar happening in the Western world, where the
US and of the Western countries, like what they call democracy, is going
to financially, socially, politically, physically melt down. Right? The
sovereign debt crisis is going to hit and I think that if India can
weather that, that it actually will keep, in a sense, the flame of
democracy, of life, it’ll be a. So like, like China was the number two
that then became effectively the most pragmatically run country, whether
it’s actually quote communist or not, it preserved the name of Congress,
right? So India becomes, I think, the world’s leading democracy by the
late 2030s early 2040s or the thereabouts. I think really the internet
is also big part of that, because Internet allows us to do
cryptographically verifiable voting it allows us to do, you know, like
votes, where you cannot just, you know, your vote counts. We can count
all the votes. So the internet also is a big part in kind of guarding,
quote, democracy, because Communism will be very strong. Chinese
communism, think will be a lot of people will think that’s the way to do
things after the sovereign debt crisis. And I think it’s going to
overcorrect in that direction, and we’ll have to have a counter. Have a
counterbalance to it. I don’t know if you have any thoughts that just,
just the fact that India can count all the votes in a day, for example,
not a small thing. It’s like a detail, though, that shows that
operationally, it’s actually able to do that, and somehow, on net, it’s
working within India.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 40:56
Yeah, yeah. I think so. I mean, coming back to your point, and I’m going
to merge the two about the potential that India has been to realize and
the potential that’s latent. I do think some of these big shifts happen
when big bets are taken, and some of these, some of these big bets can
be taken by large conglomerates and governments and policies and all of
that. And I think that’s what’s begin to show some promise and results
in India. And the kind of stuff you see in India, different from 20
years ago, is this is over the eye, and because the government and the
conglomerates have done well, it is creating a sense of optimism and is
becoming a Petri dish where ambition and risk taking can survive and try
20 years ago, When I was in college, if we were to start a company and
on a parole or the other, you would not get married. Now, if you’re on
Tinder, I think if you’re a founder, you get a lot of dates, is what I
hear. So that cultural shift, I think, allows ambition, and it doesn’t
tamp it down that he says, Yeah, you could do this. And, you know, go on
that journey, and there are people who back you, and if you come back
fail, you’re not only a joke, you know, right? Simply get patted on the
back in a bar. So
Balaji Srinivasan 42:08
again, that the failure tolerance a cultural shift is important, yeah,
as opposed to only taking the safe job of engineer doctor. I mean, of
course, being an entrepreneur is a kind
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 42:16
of engineer, but Yes, correct? So now I think that that petri dish is
somewhat ready. I still take a decade, plus multiple decades, perhaps,
to get it ready to level where we need but now I think we are starting
to see ambition and risk taking happen, get back in and get results. And
we probably in the first cycle of that. And you could argue the first
cycle was 2013 2014 and now it’s sort of showing up in public markets in
India, where good companies
Balaji Srinivasan 42:41
just hung out with beanie bond, sold foot cart, right? And so we put up
a clip. He was from, you know, friend of both of ours. He’s on the pod
before. And basically the, you know, he was the first large exit in
India, right? $18 billion for Flipkart. And kind of showed it was
possible, right? And you know, now, you know one thought, you have a
thesis. Why don’t we get to Indian tech for a second? You have a thesis
on Indian tech? I have a thesis. I’d like to hear yours.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 43:09
I’ll give you mine. Yeah, it’s thesis on India tech. Wow. It’s a broad
question, yes, thesis on India tech,
Balaji Srinivasan 43:18
should I give you my in the artist? Yeah, yeah. So my view is that India
itself is a market, yes, but it’s I’m actually more interested in India
for the producer side than the consumer side that say I’m more
interested in India as a source of talent, for engineering, for finance,
for media, for basically internet first, basically all of the, you know,
AI is amazing, but AI needs prompting and it needs verifying. That’s
actually the new bottleneck, right? Because the prompting is actually
writing programs in a higher language. You have to be verbal enough, you
know, to be able to do that. So I’ll say Indians winning spelling bees
as a So you heard, yeah, right? You have to, you have to be able to know
all kinds of crazy vocabulary terms, actually, like, for example, art
history is now an applied subject. You know why? Because if you can say
season or Picasso or something like that, then you can invoke that as a
library call when you’re using, using AI, right? And so every subject
more vocabulary, and not just vocabulary, the more terms concepts,
because using them correctly, you can prompt it better, you get a better
result, and then verifying it is if you have expertise in there. So
yeah, it doesn’t take things away, but take jobs away, but it does do is
it shifts them to people who will have time to do prompting and
verifying.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 44:36
Sorry to reject you. But I don’t know if you saw that recent video by
karpathy where he kind of does analysis of GitHub code, yeah, and more
and more. Now the GitHub repositories have English embedded in the code,
because now the code itself is becoming natural language, or more, yes,
so no more dense. So yeah, back to your point about, yeah, that’s
right.
Balaji Srinivasan 44:55
And exactly like prompting programming assembly, like, you know, right?
You. And um, and India is good at English, or at least a lot of Indians
from English. And it’s in some ways, depending on the numbers. You can
argue, India has already actually become the number one source of
English speakers on the internet, right over the US, which used to be
the default, right? And I think as more and more Indians acculturate
English, that will become completely true by 2035, or 2040, or
thereabouts, right? Because they can learn languages quickly around. So
my view is, like, if we’re sitting on this chair, this chair doesn’t
feel like a Chinese chair, right? It may be made in China, um, but it
doesn’t feel like a Chinese chair in the same way, I think, like, what
is a thesis for Indian internet entrepreneurs, they’ll build software
that’s just globally competitive, software that happens to be made by an
Indian or even in India, but it is internet first. It’s not India first,
per se, it’s internet first. It’s almost a little bit like Europeans,
who, if they’re in a small country in Europe, they have to actually
think internet first, if they’re an entrepreneur, because the whole
market is just not, not big enough. And so, like, the translation has to
be there from the beginning. And, you know, they have to be internet
first. That’s kind of problems, because that’s a tax if compliance and
stuff you have to do. But it’s got its benefits, because you have a
holistic view on the world, right? And so like, you know, build in
India, or build by Indian sell to the internet. That’s the kind of
business I’m interested in investing in, which is an internet first
business that happens to be founded by Indians. Now, of course,
sometimes it may turn out that something like olaw, for example, has
necessarily got a very local and geographical component, right? Some
businesses will be built, which are, you know, necessarily going to be
domain or geo locked, and you have to start there. And I’m not saying
India is a pretty big market. You can definitely get to a pretty large
market over there, but I do think internet first is the way to go. I
think crypto is going to help with that a lot, because it means global
rule of code, right? So an Indian may be a second class citizen in
America where, you know, h1, Bs and so sort of becoming much more
attacked and so on in the US. And they’re basically, they haven’t
eliminated them, but they made them so much more of a pain in terms of
forcing people to go back every year, rather than every few years, and
making the renewals more longer and uncertain. That’s not a small issue.
That’s a big issue because it means you can’t, first of all, just the
fact people may not know this, but as an H 1b you have to periodically
go back to India, wait for a constant point and then come back. Now, if
you’re just working at a job, this is like, Okay, I need to pause. I
need to take an international flight. I need to wait for an uncertain
duration, and then come back and that that is a pain, even if it’s like
a day on both sides. If it is an uncertain multiple month thing over
here, you can easily just lose your job in the US, it makes hiring an H,
1b something where the bureaucratic overhead means you wouldn’t do it
right. So their Point is to make it their goal is to make it
disadvantaged enough, or the program still exists in Neem, but not in
substance, right? So as that door closes, and I don’t think that Indians
should go to American I think if you’re you, it just like a big not
welcome sign is being put there. If you’re a CEO, the much of the
American Left hates you, and if you’re an Indian immigrant, a good chunk
of American right hits you so just listen, you know, to the signals
there, right? And just don’t go to America anymore. And it’s true for
many other countries as well, like even German tourists are getting
strip searched and would have you, right? America does not want
immigrant entrepreneurs to come there anymore. It just doesn’t right. So
where do they go and sit somewhere else, right? And so we have network
school, you know, we’ve opened that. There’s Dubai, there’s tons of
other countries that have digital nomad programs. And, of course,
there’s India itself. And finally, there’s the internet, right, which
you can be on from anywhere you can be a digital nomad, right? And I
think that shift, I’m starting to see that shift. Somebody posted the
other day that, like, there’s two really great engine entrepreneurs that
just chose to, you know, not take their US offers, just, you know, stay
in India instead. And I’d love to hear your or go to Dubai, or go to
Singapore, go go to something like NS and so on and so forth. I’d love
to hear your, your thoughts on that,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 49:12
yeah, I, first of all, I drew agree. How hard you get back. I came
Balaji Srinivasan 49:16
back. Yeah, you’re an early adopter, or, yeah, that’s, right,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 49:19
yeah. I came back before it was, I mean, yeah, there were a couple of
waves in India that people have returned to India. One was in 2010 I
think only 920, 10, so 1910 and the next one probably began around the
time I moved back for Bell. But mine was normally invade. They just
moved back to them or to move back. But I do remember how hard it was to
get my 1b stand, but I got stuck in Mexico, in a place called Matamoros
for six days to get my visa appointment, and it just kept getting
delayed. And that place was literally bombed out a week before, because
people had stayed and hidden there, drug even, and hidden there. So the
Mexican police had literally had to bomb them out. So the farther hotel
was actually a big circular hole in there. So we were living there.
Yeah. Anyway, it was an interesting time. But, yeah, it is getting
harder and harder to stay in the US or enter the US,
Balaji Srinivasan 50:08
and we’re all about thinking about the five and 10 year and 15 year
horizon, right? So you make an investment, say you’re thinking about
where the world is going to be in 10 years. Correct? Is America, you’d
be more or less welcoming to immigrant entrepreneurs in 10 years, I
think it’s going to be much less welcoming, much less what. That’s what
I hear. I have friends where you mean worse than today. Yeah, worse,
right? Yeah. So if it just is getting worse, you never want to bet on a
curve that’s going like this. You want to bet on curves going like
this.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 50:33
Yeah, it is. It is much harder now. My friends that are living in the US
1015, years are afraid to come back to near to see family, because they
feel like when they go back to the US, or legitimately stand bench, for
me, they will be stuck at the border, and, you know, in that end. So I
think it is getting I was surprisingly back. I was quite shocked to hear
that just a couple of months back that was in the US.
Balaji Srinivasan 50:52
It’s also the thing is just the randomness of it deters a trip. Yeah,
right, right. Because if you have a 10% like you’re spending money on
this plane, flight, on this hotel, all this kind of stuff, and then you
can be just randomly shopped at the border. Why? It’s almost like an
investment. Why did you make an investment? Or can randomly go to zero,
right? Why’d you have a conference in America, like a tech conference,
if you can have international guests, right? Tech is international
thing. You invase it there, right? Yeah. So it has lots of knock on
effects.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 51:21
Yeah. I mean, the the debasing of the institutionalization our
institutional powerhouses of the US, is quite and it’s quite sad to see,
because I kind of really benefited from it. It was probably one of the
things that made a superpower to begin with. So yeah, I think it’s sad
to see. And I don’t know if the trend line is ever going to reverse, but
it seems to be accelerating and going somewhere. Yes, yeah. Now coming
back to your question on India and tech thesis on India, again, it’s a
hard question for me to answer, because like at the end of the day, we
are in the people business, and a lot of the business of predicting what
future needs to exist, I will the business of just understanding the
motivations and intentions of a founder that’s trying to create a future
of certain kind. And you know, as any a you know, as well as anybody
else, they are primarily the people business. So my intention is to keep
the best people in India, stay in India, and build in India, or even the
best people from around the world, to move them back to India somehow.
That’s why primary interest, interesting, okay, yeah. So now, what’s
interesting about India? Do you only fund entrepreneurs in India itself?
There has to be some connection for the India fund. We the we have the
back entrepreneurs from Southeast Asia and India. Okay, got it from a
global fund. Different regions are different. So what is interesting
about India? I think it was you mentioned this earlier, Balaji, in
India, actually lives in the cloud a lot more because it’s much cheaper
for us to go live in the cloud than any other country. Everybody
literally lives in the cloud. And India has all free time. And they
watch the same movies as the Americans do, and they play the same games
as, you know, up around the world. And you know, they are all sitting on
Reddit and shit, posting everywhere. They’re on Twitter and all that
stuff is happening. So the more unplugged you become from the physical
infrastructure, the more plugged in you are the digital infrastructure,
that is a very fungible thing that you can move people around with. So
they are much more at home. It doesn’t speak English. They are
culturally easy to assimilate in any other culture, and they can move
around. So what you might be seeing, and I would love to hear how you’re
seeing in that school, I think you began with the idea that you can
literally put together a set of people that believe in a similar vision,
that have similar culture, and the culture is not regional related. It’s
more about a digital culture that exists in the clouds and sorts. You
can institutionalize that and create a movement around it. And I think
Indians are actually a really strong and a great perfect fit for this
new world that is emerging, which is going to be this network state of
sorts, where the other native citizens already Yes, and they will have
the least friction to get a passport and get citizenship in this new
world that you are creating.
Balaji Srinivasan 54:10
And what I mean by that, by the way, is it’s a little bit like people
understand fiat currency and cryptocurrency now that there’s like an
internet native version, there’s a land needed version. I think the next
step, which we’ve kind of already in the middle of, is Fiat identity and
crypto identity, because, for example, your Google login, right, is in a
sense of digital identity, right, a very important one, in fact, right?
Your your crypto wallet is another one, your pass card to your, you
know, hotel room, your Tesla, you know, digital lock that opens it with
a use of phone out and your two FA right? All of these kinds of things
are pieces of digital identity that eventually, I think, will get
consolidated into, like, effectively, a crypto passport, digital
passport that gets you into ALL. Online and offline property seamlessly,
right? And India
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 55:05
is part of the way there with other and other things, right, like that.
Actually can log into online services, but it also gets you offline,
right? Yeah? And they have, what’s the thing at airports, where it’s
just like face recognition you get about Digi outro, yeah. Digi outro,
does that work? Yeah, that works beautifully. Yeah. I don’t have to
carry my talking about it. So did you authorize this digital entity
that, you know, it essentially scans your face at the airports, and then
now you are, you know, you are in the system. And then you don’t have to
carry your passport for international travel. You still have to, but
domestic travel, you know, to carry any entity for proof. So what you do
is you just stand in front of the screen, and then it takes your it
scans your face, and your the door opens, and you you get into the
airport. And used to be, you know, few years back, and still is there
for majority of the Air Force in India. You’re for sure, until you take
your wallet out and you carry, if you forget, your annual car, then you
got to go back home and pick it up. And today, I don’t really carry
anything to be carved with me. I actually don’t really carry my what I
do really remember to carry my wallet when I’m in Singapore right now or
us, and I tend to forget. You don’t need a credit card, debit card. You
saw digital UPI and QR code base. You don’t need to carry on duty card.
I have this thing called Digital Locker, which keeps my duty, and it
said legal as a legal way to show your duty to people. You cannot be
denied entry, if you show that, and so on and so forth. So now, when you
combine this digitally native, cloud native population of you know,
very, very young people, really hungry, really ambitious, and you
combine that with the infrastructure the government is providing,
combine them with a venture money that is then to take risks with very
young and unproven
Balaji Srinivasan 56:45
founders, and also pretty capital efficient. There very capital
efficient. Yes,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 56:49
right? Then you get this. That’s where the future of India is. And on
top of that, you have this fast growing middle class with higher and
higher disposable income. And frankly, India has obviously multiple
parts. There is a really, really rich part of India has very high per
capita GDP. There is this middle part that creates differently, and
there is a bottom. The bottom is really quickly coming out of poverty,
and below poverty line, it’s coming out of poverty, some disposable
income, and then they are very, you know, we are aspiring to be
somewhere the one or the middle. What does that mean? What it means is
they want to go take, you know, take their girlfriends and boyfriends to
a movie once in a month, once in six months, great. Take them out to a
lunch or dinner in a small restaurant. Consumption is starting to
increase, yeah, yeah. If you look at the number of iPhones India buys
every year, it’s quite massive surprise India state. That’s
Balaji Srinivasan 57:50
another important stat that I was surprised at seeing. Recently, India
has risen from 1% to 20% of iPhone manufacturing, yeah, which is, again,
it’s like, it’s rare that something keeps surprising me to the upside.
Yeah, you know, like, as you said, like governments things tend to, you
know, somebody said something like, India disappoints both the pessimist
and optimist and
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 58:12
optimist. Yes, it’s true. It’s true for it’s been true for India for the
longest time. It probably will be true forever. But that’s what’s
interesting about India now? Why is that happening? Look, 1020, years
ago, my parents really saved up their entire savings to buy a house or
for somebody’s marriage, or they would buy gold, or they’ll buy a
vehicle. India, the new India doesn’t care about that. Nobody wants to
buy housing. Kids don’t want to buy a house. Interesting, basically,
don’t they don’t care. They don’t want to have possessions. They want to
rent. Yeah, now to wear gold in public is tacky for the young people. So
they don’t want to buy gold and keep it in their locker. So where the
money go? They don’t want to buy a vehicle because they want to just
take
Balaji Srinivasan 59:02
Ubers everywhere, like, ooh. So they are internet first. They leave
project to them.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 59:06
They might really, yeah, they want to have, they want to plug in, plug
out of infrastructures, banking infrastructure, you know, vehicle
Balaji Srinivasan 59:13
infrastructure. So lifestyle of, sort of the San Francisco tech guy is
actually the default lifestyle. I’ll be at a much lower price point, but
actually comparable quality. Honestly, it’s like maybe 10 or 100x in
some cases cheaper than California, but it’s comparable or better
quality in many cases, like food delivery, like Uber all that, all that
stuff exists, right? You know, you can, you could be completely
productive with great coffee, MacBook, air conditioning, everything
there and, and it’s not like, like, super expensive or anything. It’s,
like, accessible to a very large number of people, yeah.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 59:48
And you can get all of this stuff in 10 minutes in the big cities, yeah,
and pretty soon in the k2 30 cities in 10 minutes, yeah, because
economics doesn’t work
Balaji Srinivasan 59:56
out. Now, the one thing I will say is, when people go to India, they’ll
find places. And there are plenty of places that are still, you know,
filthy, or, you know, those, like terrible streets and something like
that. And that’s absolutely true. And I believe I’ve actually started to
express it is India is like California in reverse. And what I mean by
that is California is fractally getting worse, right? So everything
that’s old is, like, beautiful, and it’s got, like, amazing, you know,
Spanish roof architecture or its speeches, but everything new is like,
in California, it’s like a homeless encampment. It’s like a burned down
town. It’s like a Waymo set on fire or something like that. It’s like,
the new stuff is bad. Most the buildings that are new are bad because
they’re not buildings they’re destroyings really right? And in India,
it’s opposite the older it is, with some exceptions, like the Taj Mahal,
which are really, really old, right? But in general, the older stuff is
like, it’s like a slum, or it’s like a, you know, bad Street, though,
poverty is radically reduced in India, like the rate of extreme poverty
is dropped off a lot, right? So it’s like, you know, it’s like a messy
street or something. But the new stuff, it’s like a shiny new Apple
Store, or it’s a, it’s a new restaurant or something like that. And And
importantly, a lot of the people are very, especially English speakers.
And of course, not everybody speaks English, and so sort of, but a lot
of people do. Are very ouch with internet memes. You know, they’re like,
they’re extremely conversant with everything that’s added on the English
internet, right? And so that’s surprising to people. If they haven’t
had, you know, time, though, they may, you know, they because people
type without an accent. Yeah, right, you type with an accent, and so
complete conversant in written English. And there’s like, a slight
accent in within India. But even then, like, you know, because Indians
learn languages reasonably fast, so it’s fractally getting better.
That’s kind of how I think about it. Let me know, yeah, yeah, because
you’ve also lived in California and India for Absolutely.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:01:46
I think in India you can, you can visit three to four countries in a
day, if you wanted to go to Mumbai, tier
Balaji Srinivasan 1:01:54
one, tier two, tier three, yeah, talk about that
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:01:56
pretty much, right? So you go to Zion all Shaws, I think premonition,
yeah. I think he mentioned that perhaps. And then our friends at bloom
ventures doing such as I mentioned that in his recent I think it was
last year, a couple of years back in his publication. He does a really
good job of that that’s called Indus Valley files. And I think he’s got
this really, really interesting observation that, you know, in a single
day, I don’t know whether you said this or not, but it’s in my
reputation already. In a single day, you can, if you go to Mumbai or
Bangalore, you can land in a in an airport that looks like a seven star
hotel, uh, drive on a highway that looks like absolutely brand new and
flowers and trees on both sides, and feels like you’ve come to
Singapore. So you land in Singapore, you can then reach a city that
feels like Mexico in the middle of a sweaty afternoon. And then you
could, you could pass by something that looks like a Brazilian Fauci, I
probably think in multiple countries in a single statement, possess
interesting in India, this is what, you know, there is a pocket of
massive improvement, and there is middle, the messy middle, and there is
the Yeah, but
Balaji Srinivasan 1:03:04
if we look at the graph over time and like, so there was a tweet on
Indian infrastructure that I put up that actually Prime Minister Modi
retweeted that showed the like, um, you know, for example, illumination,
like lights or highways or, You know, plumbing, all this stuff, just
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:03:21
radically improved. 10 year cycle. It’s completely different. Yes, a 10
year cycle, the connectivity, the electricity, you know, consumption. If
you look at those graph, you look at the road network that you put this
up, I remember seeing that a train network, the flight networks, the
airport infrastructure. We’re looking at 10 to 15 year graph. It looks
like it’s erratic in different countries. Country, yes, and you can
still go, you can find whatever you want to find. In India, the
optimists will go find the Singapore in India, the pessimists are going
to go find something else. Yes, well,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:03:52
yeah. But the pessimists have, if you look at the graph over time, it
is, it is very hard to be pessimistic on it, right? And that, that, I
think, is, unless you’re calibrated on the trend line, right? It’s kind
of like people can take a beautiful photo. There’s still beautiful areas
in California. But the trend line from, you know, because I was there
almost 25 years, right? From 1997 to 2020, 2019, for 22 years, something
like that, right? The trend line was just definitely like it hadn’t yet
hit zero. But and how, when were you there? You were there from 50
years, 15 years, so 2003 2018, right? So you definitely saw it towards
the end. It was like much, much, much filthier, different world, right?
So it’s funny, because we’re in a time where, I think previously, these
sort of civilizational level changes happened over decades, but now
they’re happening over years, yeah, or they’re they happen over
centuries. Now they’re happening over decades. You know, the rate of
change is so ridiculously fast, yeah? And we can quantify that actually,
like, have you seen the graph of for example, i. Um, I think it was
whether it’s internet adoption or, actually, no, it’s E commerce. E
commerce spend had been growing as percentage of total spend X percent a
year until COVID, and then it actually, literally increased 10x in a
year, right? So that’s like, the the Lennon thing, like, there’s years
where decades happen. That actually was a year where a decade happened,
where the rate of change just went like that, right? Things that people
had known were happening just went vertical like this. Now, COVID in
India, actually interesting, macro thing. COVID in America after that,
like, the society has just felt worse off, like people say, people often
post about this, like maintenance quality has dropped off. You know,
polarization is increasing even further. Service Quality, like, you
know, it’s like, everything in terms of maintenance, all that stuff is
kind of broken down. And whereas in China, for example, somebody went
there and they said, post COVID, and, you know, China was really
ruthless during COVID. They locked coupon rooms and so on. But they also
a lot of the things that people used to do in China, like, you know,
spitting on the street and stuff like that. Like, a lot of that is
actually dramatically being curtailed, and China feels more Japanese,
like there’s a greater degree of public, you know, cleanliness and some
sort of, perhaps, as the system got pushed into a new state as a
function of COVID. And I actually think India, on balance because of the
internetification On balance, it actually feels stronger after COVID,
like the site has come together more and so forth. I don’t know if you
have any thoughts on
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:06:31
that, yeah, as a funny tweet, somebody put out a few days back that the
world has not been the same since somebody had a bat.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:06:38
So it actually appears to have come out of the wet lab, or the, you
know, more than what, okay, because there’s enough data on the NIH
funding of on the COVID, you know, like the COVID-19 Labs, that it’s
more than incidental. There’s too many different connections for it to
be, I think, too constructive. Yeah, I could go through all the genetics
of it, but it looks positive.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:07:01
So, yeah, I think, look India, COVID was brutal time, and it’s very hard
to compare which country had the worst of it. India certainly didn’t do
well. And the first wave was fine, the second wave was brutal. Yes,
people did come together quite nicely, the society, which was really
great to see many of us. And I remember, like being part of a lot of
this COVID drives in the line, we would call off hospital and figure out
depends. And I think, yeah, it was a tough time. It does feel like it
did not change society in a way that you could pinpoint pre and post and
say, We are a different world now, like what you’re saying could China,
or perhaps, you know, the US. It doesn’t feel like it’s very different.
So I think we did come away not getting too deeply impacted culturally
or economically or COVID. It could be because India, by itself, is a
little bit conservative across, you know, pistol policy and policies. So
because soon do the big quick print in the same way, do the same thing
that we did, and and the healthcare infrastructure, you know, it’s not
as massive as it is in China, but it, you know, it gets the job done.
Yeah, India did have its own vaccine. You did have your own vaccine. And
I took the Iranian vaccine, not the Pfizer one. And, you know, felt
like, you know, we, I think we came out of it, okay? I’m glad, I’m glad
to see that it did lead to a lot of like the demonetization wave made
sure that people don’t really care about carrying money anymore. I think
it did lead to a lot of the digitization of services. You could get
people to come your house and clean up, and you could get, you know,
quick commerce picked up during that time, and deliveries of all kinds
of things that I caught COVID In the US, and it was so hard to get
medicines delivered to you. You just couldn’t get medicines delivered to
you. COVID, in any he just comes to your doorstep. Even during COVID, he
will come to your doorstep. So I think those things start to get
adopted. And one of the funny thing that happens during COVID is, you
know, even grandparents were were had to learn or order stuff, because
many times they were living by themselves, or if their kids were, you
know, Ill, sick, then they had to take care of them. They learn how to
how to use digital services at 7080, years of age. So it led to this
mass coaching of the entire country to learn to take classes online, to
transact online, to get services online, and so on and so forth. So I
think that led to a behavior that has stuck around a lot more so all the
whole feels like it did accelerate our digitization journey, which is
already kind of really getting there, but it’s really accelerated.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:09:36
I think the digital part is what really accelerated that. For that, I
think if you looked at a few graphs. So society is at least the same, if
not better, but really doesn’t seem to be badly curved a digital part
radically, and we’re much younger population. So COVID was, like, a big
deal. That’s yeah, so that’s important, and it did, frankly, that’s a
good point. Actually, the demographic aspect of it is underappreciated.
Yeah,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:10:01
yeah. And, and frankly, India doesn’t listen like it is, or listen
right? It wasn’t like people are still walking around and getting beaten
up by the police like bunch of funny tweets coming out and but people
just began to mingle, like in other countries, people protesting against
during so part of it was India, are both to sell and don’t listen as a
weird combination, tell people to wear a mask and tell you people was as
well. So that was good. And then sometimes people just don’t care. Just
mingle around anyway. And both of it kind of worked out in a way that
the country came out of it. Okay? It was quite weird to see
Balaji Srinivasan 1:10:39
interesting. So Okay, let’s see other things. I mean, you basically, you
left in 2018 for India and so. And when you, when did you come? When you
come back to India, when I come back to India, you came back in like,
January 20 Oh, I came back in August of 2018 Okay, so it’s only a year
and a half before COVID, yeah, yeah,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:10:59
yeah. So then, yeah,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:11:01
and so what was the like the venture environment at that time was, I
mean, 2021 just talking about that for a second, right? A lot of deals
that got done in 2021 in the US had this giant, I mean, like markets are
just going like bananas at that time, valuations are out of control, all
kinds of stuff. And then, you know, inflation obviously went vertical
towards the end. And finally they acknowledged it was doing so. And then
they had to hike rates and not had to. I actually think both the
printing and the hiking were both disastrous policies, but they felt
they had to do fine. How did that like? To what extent was India’s
economy also connected to, like the Western gyrations of markets versus
how much was it, kind of its own thing? Not
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:11:49
very, not very much. Yeah, so if you look at the if you kind of go back
and maybe you can show that in 2020 when the COVID shock happened, the
market’s going to go up in the US by what 23% or less. Few months in
India was probably more like seven or 8%
Balaji Srinivasan 1:12:05
so the shock because the first rate wasn’t as bad in India,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:12:08
yeah. Also, we are not as as connected to the US stock market, you know,
as perhaps other countries might be so. So the shock was there, but it
was it was less and and and then they just continued on. So yeah, on the
venture side, there was a massive Gold Rush, even in India, like seed
rounds were getting done, you know, 2030, post money. And the six months
ago, they were happening at 10 and 15 post money. So really double
overnight, CDs were happening, 100 200 posts, money, half a million
dollars of revenue, especially in SaaS. So SaaS category kind of really
blew up massively India. And majority of deals that happened there were
probably SaaS and software canonical deals. And so snap the snap, snap
up into COVID frenzy, lots and lots of capital went into different
companies, I think at that maybe don’t quote me on this, but about 30 to
$40 billion of capital went in to India, across early made and grow.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:13:12
What’s funny is, that’s a large amount for VC, but it’s a small amount
in the grand scheme of things, you know, like, because so many hundreds
of billions are done. But yes, this is a good jump for VC. A good
jump
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:13:23
for VEC good chunk of money, and for why you were the second largest
pool of venture capital going into the market, and China was sort of
fourth at the time. So I think now we’ve kind of stabilized in the snap
back out of COVID. Was also very brutal. Many companies, you know, going
into COVID, especially if they were offline, right? Really struggle. And
then they use the times, the good ones, the good management teams, use
the time to really, you know, get leaner and get more hungry and
powerful on the way out of COVID. All the companies that were building
into the COVID way, what people used to call pandemic market fit, they
also lost that and lost a lot of capital. And, you know, kind of lost
the thesis, and they eventually died. So that all that happened in India
in two years, and I had a few of my companies just blow up to a billion
dollar and then blow down to zero again in like, two years time, it was
crazy. Same time crypto way was happening, you probably know this, and
then tons of tons of companies and the NFT way was picking up. It was a
frenzy, feeding frenzy, and defi was picking up, and they said, You’re
not very in India. So we saw a lot of that, lots and lots of gold
rushes, all happening simultaneously. And it was really hard to keep it
straight ahead and figure out what kind of entrepreneur you want to
back, and what companies will wage you want to back, and what will
sustain, what will knock so best we could, I think most investors around
the world struggle with that period, and we’ll see what that vintage
looks like in the next 10 years. But it will be challenging if you have
been a bit, you know, more indiscriminate in deploying capital during
that time, and didn’t care about valuation and resume the you. But there
were days of stay, and I think they, you know, lose all our money.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:15:03
Yeah, interesting. I think, I think, in general, the the one thing that
is good about those book times is, you know, the carload Perez thing
that we talk about, a lot of these things you can talk about that, go
ahead. All right, please, go ahead. Yeah, yeah. It’s like, in a sense,
the.com bubble was a global search to find Google and Amazon, right? So
all the capital that went into it, if it it did more than that, but if
it just did those two, you can also add Netscape and a few other things,
right? Which, obviously, Netscape is very important. If it just did
that, it’s worth it, right? Like all the cap, right? And so if that
3040, Bill, if it generates $1 trillion company, even $100 billion
company, you can argue it’s worth it, right? And, um, and it probably
will, probably will do, do quite a few, like, you know, even, I think
kind of cursor responded in that, but that will probably be there,
right? So, and you know, it’s because the thing is that entrepreneurship
is hard and rare, and so you kind of need to take the whole thing and,
you know, toss it on the table. Another example is, you remember the
chat bots boom of the mid 2010s this around the time of Tay in Microsoft
and so and so, there’s like 2015 ish,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:16:27
2016 like floor type stuff, like a, like a programmatic do this step,
one step, yeah, if else chat does various Yes, that’s right.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:16:35
And and there was Microsoft Tay, which was like an R, like a B, zero,
AI, chat bot. And I remember seeing all that, and I remember, I’m not
sure if I wrote it as an async memo or something, but I remember writing
something like for people to make this work. What they’re actually what
they really want, as people are talking about with chatbots, I’m like,
what they’re asking for is iterated Google. Like, what they want, in its
full generality, is to say something in natural language, get back a
response that uses the entire internet to make the response, and then do
another query, right? That is iterated Google. So if you can do that, of
course, it’s amazing. It’s more valuable than Google, but that’s a
scale. The problem we’re talking about is like, beat Google, right? And
remember writing that, and that’s actually what happened, that chatgpt
is actually iterated Google, and it’s actually better than Google has
actually taking share away from Google. But that was the scale of the
challenge. And actually, Greg Brockman actually got interested in AI
because in part of the chat bot book he’s written about that, right? So
in a sense, all the capital that went into that, if all it did was get
Brockman interested in chat bots. It paid for itself, yeah, right. So
that is, like a really right tail way of thinking about some of these
bubbles, or what have,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:17:48
you know, crazy how powerful the power law is, yeah,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:17:51
exactly. Or actually, dock mobile would also do this. Did PayPal, right?
So did Netscape. It did PayPal. It did e pinions, which novel, you know,
EP is a real company, but you know it, did Google, it did Amazon, right?
So PayPal gave teal, and then LinkedIn and everything else from that,
right? And YouTube and blah blah, then there’s Google. So just that
search for those entrepreneurs was kind of worth it, yes, right? And
that’s so funny, because that’s not the way that people normally think
about it. They want to score every investment independently. And of
course, that’s worth, worth doing, but it’s sort of like no bubble
actually goes to waste in the long run. I shouldn’t say no bubble, but
you know what I mean, many of these ostensible bubbles actually are
search function, which actually pay dividends in five or 10
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:18:32
years. So making me look out. Yeah, I agree. I think if Frankie, if I
were to redesign the venture world, I would sort of say it’s gonna
become a visual bimodal where the extreme right are these absolute
shots. You know, no short and hand are working. But if it does work,
it’s like, you know, you cure cancer, yeah, do a lot of stuff on the
extreme left is, I don’t know, roll up companies guaranteed performance,
but you know, 15% coupon year over year, and everything in the middle
may not be as interesting, right? That’s one way to think about that.
That’s interesting. I
Balaji Srinivasan 1:19:06
mean, the thing is, um, I think it’s hard to do the left hand side
company nowadays, it is very hard. And the reason I think it is hard to
do that is like the argument, you know, for example, the the so called
Lifestyle Business argument that 37 signals made for a long time. The
problem I always have with that is, if you don’t intend to scale a
business, then you intend to run the business for the rest of your life.
So the lifestyle this is actually the rest of your life, whereas it’s
actually easier to build a business, that is a gigantic thing, because
then you can sell a piece of it at some point, unless ns, yeah,
sometimes it’s a project you do want to run for the rest of your life,
right? Yeah. But unless you want to run it for the rest of your life,
you want to actually build it as a company that you might be able to
sell and then do something else in life. If you want to do something
else in life, number two is a lifestyle business. Is not necessarily
more competitive in the market than a scale business, because it is
attracting almost definitionally less ambitious people, right? That’s
the bigger problem. I think that’s right, yeah. And so the ambitious
people who want to conquer the world will optimize the heck out of every
screen and every flow and so and so forth. And even something we think
of as, you know, simple like, like, I don’t know, nowadays people
because something is easy to them. They sometimes, unless they’re
experienced, they think it’s easy to build, like WhatsApp or discord.
You don’t necessarily feel like you’re doing something very
sophisticated when you’re using it. You’re just typing in some chat
stuff to somebody on their side. It seems basic when you want to
implement it can actually make it work at the scale that it works. It’s
actually quite challenging, quite hard, like just video uploading from,
I don’t know, Brazil and having it viewed in India and America and
Japan, all at the same time seamlessly with replies coming back and, you
know, deliver at least one semantics and 500 other kinds of things, is
hard, right? So um, the the lifestyle business kind of thing isn’t
thinking about Polish. I think I was something right. So that’s my my
counter argument is, I’m not sure the low risk business exists as much.
You know you’re right. Low local capital, though, to edit what you’re
saying, to let me, let me, let me take part of what you’re saying, which
I do agree with. I think the small business exists. The small business
with a few people that with AI and with crypto and with internet
distribution can do really well. Like telegram is only 30 people, right?
Um, and WhatsApp is only 55 Instagram, this thing was only like sub 20
people. That business definitely exists, and that business will
continue. Business will continue to exist. So it’s just an edit on what
you’re saying, perhaps not low risk, but low
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:21:47
capital, yeah. And then I guess the thesis that some people have, and I
don’t know how it’s gonna play out, but you absolutely right. I think
what you’re saying is, quote, unquote, you put 10 B plus people and put
them together, they could be 10 companies, less ambition, less finesse,
or whatever the combination becomes a c minus, automatically, it doesn’t
become 10, B plus. There’s not even stay B plus anymore. Yes, exactly. I
totally get that. I think what I think you’re also right, that if the
job of a business is to suck in $1 and and, you know, spit out $3
through productivity gains and high margin work or higher value add with
AI, maybe you suck in half $1 and come out with five. That may be
possible, because all this sprinkle magic of productivity and quality
and scalability now finally gets sold with AI. So instead of one coming
out before you have half coming up at five, and we’ll see. I think it’s,
it’s, it’s showing promise at small scale. The challenge is that, when
you add 1020, of these point five, you know, capital suckers, and will
50 come out of the other end, we’ll see that’s
Balaji Srinivasan 1:22:58
good. Yeah. I mean, the big thing about AI is, I mean, there’s a lot of
big things, but the fact that it has scalability and consistency and low
price, even if it does make errors, is still so insanely valuable
because, um, you are just hyper deflating the cost of the legal console
from a lot of, you know, from a lot of people. Um, so, yeah, I think I
don’t know.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:23:24
And you have a lot more resilient P and L, what happens today, if you’re
building these, some of these old school businesses, you are more people
having so when, if you don’t control demand, which small businesses
don’t have a lot of control on actually, just go ahead and finish
everything. I’ll say, sorry. So you have a fixed cost, you have people
sitting on the bench, and there’s nothing to do, you know, figuratively
speaking, but the AI. And if you have agents doing the job, and what
point it’ll be able to do pretty much end to end of a variety of things.
Okay, I’ll come back, okay. And then what happens is, you can, then you
can just purely focus on scaling demand, because supply can scale
infinitely when demand. So you shift your fixed costs into an operating
cost. You lose operating leverage, but you are essentially scaling in
business with the exact same repeatable, scalable, predictable cash flow
profile. You know, the moment you get 10x demand, you can copy paste 10x
agents with the same quality of service, and the cost will become
variable because you’re paying more for infrastructure for 10 times more
agents, but you are essentially in lockstep with demand. The demand goes
out, the customer says, You’re not good, I’m gone. You can kill agents,
and you’re back to lockstep with the demand, so your revenue and margin
profiles stays pretty much in lockstep your but, but you are a lot more
resilient through the cycles, and which is important for a small
business. Large businesses obviously control all of the stuff. I mean,
that’s what we’re starting to see now happen because of our Yeah,
please,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:24:57
yeah. So I think the only part I mean. Discreetly on that is the end to
end part. I think it depends on the task. So if it’s a robot placing
things, that is something where the verifying of whether it’s placed is
easy, but many other tasks it’s actually, it’s actually middle to
middle. Tim, so you will have to prompt it, and you have to verify, I
see, but AI is middle to middle. To middle, and then you take care of
the NS you do, then you can’t scale. That is what you say. Yeah. So the
not so basically all depending on how much the middle part takes in any
process. The part after prompting and before verifying, that now
compresses to prompting and verify, but it means, for example, as a
coder, you have to specify it, and then you have to review the code at
the other end and then integrate it right? And that’s like the job of an
engineering manager is actually higher skilled than jobs. Higher skilled
than job, and somebody is an engineer. And so I’m not saying it’s not a
productivity winner. It is, but it is amplified intelligence in many
ways, rather than artificially agentic artificial intelligence, right?
So the smarter you are, the smarter it is. But I will give one analogy.
Ugar, you say
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:25:56
something I was saying that verify prompt and verify loop. I think it’s
a shifting window where things you have verified, prompting verify
enough times we get auto verified and auto comfy. So
Balaji Srinivasan 1:26:09
the question, I mean, in the last two and a half years of AI, since
chat, the chat shift key moment, I don’t feel that’s true yet, according
it’s bidding to be true. I don’t think, I think the verifying part is
still hard, because actually, let me be more precise, on the front end
for images and for video and for for front end code that you can verify
with a different thing, which is you verify with the GPUs from your eye,
for your brain, you instantly see something is wrong, because it’s like
two hands, or it’s got a messed up button or something like that. So
that’s where verifying is cheap. But on the back end for logic, for
database code, for crypto code, security code, that is actually where
verifying is expensive, maybe we can turn it into something which is
visual. And so you can visualize, almost like, for example, an audio
file. You can turn into a spectrogram, and you can see if there’s some
giant spikes of amplitude and that looks broken. You can quickly see it
with your eye, but you can’t quickly listen with your ear, right? So
it’s possible, we might be able to, for example, generate some
visualization of the code so you can quickly visually verify it. That
generation itself has to be deterministic code rather than
probabilistic. But that’s why I divide. I’d say the front end stuff, the
images, videos, that’s what AI is amazing for, because the verifying is
cheap and but, but the back end code verifying is expensive, which is a
non obvious division. I think that. I don’t think I tweeted about that,
but I don’t think people have made exactly that division. And give
another analogy, which is many businesses for a long time, until, you
know, basically the 80s, they were doing their accounting with piece of
paper, not spreadsheets. So the instruction of spreadsheet compressed
that whole middle step of adding up all the numbers. They used to have a
mail room at companies rather than email, and then the church of email
just basically took that completely away, and it pushed it to other
things. And as an example, when running a clinical lab, because we
started it in such a way that it actually had a database epic core, I
could run a query and it could just give out all kinds of analytics and
stuff, like, you know which variants were present with which other
variants, and which insurance companies and all this kind of stuff that
it cost millions of dollars for a traditional clinical lab to try find
those analytics on some process. For example, bottleneck identification
worked as follows, because every station in the clinical lab, when you,
when you create a record in Postgres, you get a create an at timestamp
for free. That meant that later, when we had we wanted to prove
turnaround time we could take every station, station one through
station, let’s say 20. And these were in a complicated order, because
sometimes you have to revert back to station. You can take a sample, and
you take it’s created at timestamp at all these stations, and you can
make a graph of the sample moving through stations, then every edge
between them, you have the time that it took, and you can start making
the histogram of like, oh, did this have a long delay at times, right?
Or does this have a high variance? So you can make the edges wiggly. If
they’re high variance, you can make them red if they’ve got a long
delay, and so on and so forth. And this fashion on a big monitor, you
can instantly visualize all the delays, and you’re like, oh, right,
there is the highest variance and slowest step, and we need to add three
more pico greens or something to parallelize. Yeah, right. So that kind
of analytics you couldn’t get. And so that’s how I think of pi becoming
the brain of many companies, right? Lots of processes that were
previously as manual as a mail room, or previously as manual as count
again numbers, though, AI just takes care of that middle part. Then you
still have to kind of do the end caps. Yeah, yeah.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:29:47
Interesting, yes. Interesting way to look at it. You’ve been thinking
about this quite a lot. I think of again is that I’m not diving into AI
the courses, yeah, fantastic. You’re familiar with formal theory, right?
If. Almost like, like, formal verification, right? So you almost can
verify the output within the system itself. So, yeah, it’s actually
accurate. And I think it’s an NP hard problem, because you don’t know
what other accuracies are there that you’re not covering, because you’re
not programmed to to measure it, but, uh, but I think, I think of AI
systems, because they’re probabilistic. It is much harder to measure
accuracy. And how do you measure accuracy for a poem that you write as
Shakespeare, you don’t know what is accurate or not. It’s a feel. It’s a
why. But I think we it will be, I think the next revolution of AI will
happen when you are able to formally verify output and quality output in
a way that is, that is that closes the loop on the prop that begins the
production of the tokens that you see as photos, videos, or whatever
that may mostly AI systems today are actually open loop systems. In our
closed loop systems, take, for example, cater a fantastic company. We,
many of our companies, use clearly Ali. It takes inputs from, you know,
a CRM May, 6 Sense, sort of zoom info. It’ll do some research. You can
figure it out, you know, this person, even there’s a VC here, age,
whatever, gender, whatever, living here there, it’ll write me a
beautiful, customized email to me. It’ll write million copies for
million people and then pushes into a HubSpot enough smart does the
programming and has the Camden,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:31:25
yes. But the problem is, now I don’t want to read those emails.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:31:29
That’s another problem to solve, AI to sort of fix that. But where does
the loop get open? Is that now there’s these emails have gone rough
spot. HubSpot puts a tracker in there. It puts a headline in
Balaji Srinivasan 1:31:40
there. No, I know. I know. But what I’m saying, though, is, when AI
increases the generation of stuff to such an extent, it will break that
channel that was working, and I don’t even read email anymore. And then,
and then I kind of don’t already, basically, someone’s like, oh, I sent
you an email, and I’ll go and look or whatever. And so instead, you go
to other channels that are high trust, channels that people don’t have
the number two or something like that, right? And that’s where,
actually, where your true messaging is. Now, AI can’t get in there. The
whole point is not AI, right? Yeah. So, so I think that there’s,
there’s, there’s a window right now, yes, where generated stuff from AI
will overwhelm all kinds of missing channels, and there’ll be a reaction
against him. Already seen where people are like but
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:32:23
the reaction is where the loop is close. Okay, go ahead, because when
you send this out to hub spawn and you say, I don’t care, I will never
open an email that looks by the editor. Email that information is not
coming back to clay today. It’s staying in WhatsApp. Because, sure,
sure, sure, yes. So they have put the trackers in. They don’t know what
kind of subject lines people open and what times when you send it people
open, or do you have it in HTML or with Nvidia embedded in it. And
HubSpot knows. So click does not know how to improve its AI, how to make
it better. So you open it tomorrow, day after one year later. So that
loop never gets close. And these are software loops. They’re
Balaji Srinivasan 1:33:02
fair layer fair. That’s true. So one part of that I do agree, which is
the closing of the loop in terms of open rates and so on. But the other
part is just that systemically, rates will trend down when as people are
increasing the number of their AI, you know, like emails getting sent
out, and I think you’re going to start so the compliment to that is
going to be crypto, because, um, you can charge cryptocurrency for
emails, yeah, right. And we could do that.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:33:27
And had a company, and I wanted to use a meal bonded company. How was
that?
Balaji Srinivasan 1:33:31
Well, so I want to do the v2 of that, right? Um, basically, because I
think tasking is going to become a big thing. But, um, the the reason
for that is, I think, and makes everything fake. Crypto makes it real
again. Crypto sets up hard digital borders that AI can’t cross. Like AI
cannot fake the private keys for a cryptocurrency. Ai cannot pose as
something with a crypto identity. Ai cannot manipulate on chain data.
For all of that, this is like, it’s like a hard deal border that these
AI agents can’t bust, right? So that’s what you can count on. On the
internet, are blockchains that are unhackable. And then that, because
that’s like a hard surface that actually becomes the verifiable
internet, which is web three and or the verifiable web, and then web one
and web two. Web one is like, you know, the World Wide Web. Web two is
like, let’s say the social web, right? Web two is becoming closed
because x and other things need to stop AI scraping. And then web one is
coming spam, right? And so you get spam or pay walled, closed, and then
you have web three be the open web, the cryptographic, signed web,
right? And I think that’s where we’re gonna go.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:34:41
What’s the intersection of AI in Book Three that you’ll see? Like, a use
case? Oh, like, it’s gonna Yeah.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:34:47
So there’s a few, well, some that we’re working on, right? But so the
one that’s out there in public that everybody knows is AI agents using
crypto to pay for things, because crypto is currency of the internet,
right? Since it were. Cross borders, and an AI agent can boot up an
address pay another AI agent who can receive it, right? So just that
alone is like, clearly, a big thing. And AI agents can sign smart
contracts with other AI agents. So any kind of automate trading, you
know, or transactions, cryptocurrency will be the way that AI is, you
know, go and buy things. So an intelligent agent, you know, which people
talked about in the late 90s. You needed both AI and crypto to be at
scale. You need crypto so that everybody could accept the transactions
across borders on internet agents be able to go and swim the web and
find find those things. So that’s one piece. A second piece is, and I
think this is most interesting for me, is on chain data as the thing
that AI can’t falsify, so, like the verification step and so and so
forth. So, um, that, to me, is what I call, like the ledger of record,
like, rather than the paper of record, which is argument from assertion,
you have cryptographic verification. And right now that only works for
financial facts, because financial facts are going on chain, but the
blockchain is actually the crypto, more generally, is the number four
market in the world. You know that, like number one, ns, number two,
NASDAQ, number three, Shinzen, number four crypto, right? And it’s
quickly gained, it’s going to become number one, like internet capital
markets will also be Indian Capital Markets, right? Like the way I look
at this, and this is a five or 10 year thing, but it’s not more than
that, right? We now finally have the on chain dollar, right? On chain
Fiat. That’s going to mean you also have on chain not just currency, but
on chain equity and on chain fund interests. So very soon, every
internet company will have an internet equity for almost 10 years. This
is pathologized because of the SEC and their jihad against crypto and so
and so for Gensler and all this guys. And they’ll be like, you said, a
security and so on. They’d like, you know, and but the obvious point is,
you wanted a legal pathway to put a security on chain da right, and
that’s not dishonest or anything like that. It’s like saying, Don’t
record your securities in an Excel spreadsheet. You need to do on piece
of paper. So you went from, you know, a piece of paper to a cap table,
right? Why can’t you go to a coin table? Obviously, you should, because
that is kind of like, you know, the intermediate step is like, Carter or
angel list, which are great, great things, right? So you go, it’s almost
like the scent of man, you know, the caveman is like, actually, the
caveman doesn’t have a company at all, right? Then you got piece of
paper, or, you know, then you’ve got a cap table in spreadsheet. Then
you’ve got Carta, right, arrange a lift, sugary companies, and then
you’ve got the on chain coin table. The advantage of this is, you know,
something I didn’t actually realize, arguably, until crypto,
international law, international trade, did not exist. You know, I say
that. So let’s say you’ve got, you’re an Indian company, and there’s a,
there’s like a Brazilian company that you want to acquire, right? How
many people speak both Portuguese and Hindi? Not that many, right? Okay,
many speak English on both sides. But how many people have done Indian
Brazilian acquisitions, or Indian Paraguay or something like that? Not
too many. Right? So what people end up doing is they use a US company as
the adapter between the two, because US did enough business with both
them. They use US law and so this way they make it work. So the US
actually turned out to be the central hub. They’ve reduced it to a hub
and spoke problem, rather than a peer to peer problem. The other country
that increasingly you could not one could the Chinese people could use
is China, where they can use that because that because that also does
enough business with both countries that there’s some bilateral thing. A
Chinese company can buy this one and sell this one or some something
along those lines, right? But now with crypto, you have global rule of
code, so eventually that, just like when you came to India, you had
global mail, right? Because your mail just worked, right, and you had
global movies and you had global media, your Twitter just worked.
Everything else just worked. You will have global
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:38:48
money and global entity and global
Balaji Srinivasan 1:38:51
entities exactly because if you think about what is an entity, first you
have Bitcoin, then you have stable coins, and then say you had all the
transactions on chain, and then you have all the transactions on chain
of a company. Once you have all the transactions, you can generate
financial statements. Once you can generate all the transactions, you
can also have the cap table there. So the collecting of the cap table,
plus all the transaction plus all the smart contracts, that is what a
company is, right? So you have an on chain entity, and it actually lives
on chain, and that floats above and you can port it between
jurisdictions, right? Just like you can port everything else. The reason
that’s harder to do than all the other things we’ve done before is it is
like a group of people. It’s like law, it’s money, it’s like high stakes
stuff, but we’re getting there Right? And I think that’s going to be one
of the most important areas for Indians. But actually, anybody who’s not
in the US or China to really invest in, actually, frankly, lots of
Americans and Chinese will benefit from as well, but especially if
you’re not in a quote, in a in a country that is contending for being
the global number one, you want crypto because it protects your rights
online. You know what I mean? Right? And. And it protects your rights
abroad. It gives you like currency that can’t be seized. It gives you
contracts that can’t be unilaterally abrogated. You’re like a first
class citizen on the internet, even if you’re a second class citizen in
America. That’s like a really deep point, like, you know, people can
mess with your HMB visa. They can make it hard for you to start a
company or something like that in the US, they cannot make it hard for
you to move your Bitcoin?
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:40:21
Yeah, you’re saying, I think at some point in time your wallet is your
possible, that’s right, right? And, yeah, I wouldn’t look at it. I think
it’s starting to really play out. Uh, what’s exciting you in crypto
today? I mean, we keep hearing about stables a lot. We’ll say to be so,
you know
Balaji Srinivasan 1:40:34
what? You know, I launched your CC or Coinbase, I will, yeah, can I see
something we put up? We’ll put that on screen. Or whatever we’re
launching support for a new stable USD coin. We call it a stable coin,
because one USD coin can reliably and stably be exchanged for exactly
one US dollar. So October, 23 2018 like we put in the 25 mil. We
collateralized the consortium. We watched the like, that whole thing
doesn’t exist without old Balaji.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:41:04
Wasn’t that the like a massive bull period in 2018 oh, that was a
bear
Balaji Srinivasan 1:41:09
period. That was a bear period. 2017 was supposed to, yes, this was
extreme bear period. Yes, yes. This is what these are. Encrypted. Fallen
Bitcoin fall down to like 5000 or something from 20 is down 75% but, you
know, I’m an old weather you know, I believed in this, you know, through
multiple bubbles and cycles and so and so forth. And, um, so, yeah. And
basically, the the graph on that, that was October 23 2018 and I’ll show
you the graph, actually. And
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:41:35
was it called 17,000 or something? Increase, 17. I remember, I was lost.
In? Yeah, you’re
Balaji Srinivasan 1:41:41
20,020 I’ve got the price graph is carved in. It’s like a tat. I don’t
get any tats, but I do have that as a tat in my brain. So here is like,
so you see, see, let’s see if I can show the exact area. October, 23
2018 zero. Wow, right? Is that cool? That’s amazing. And now it’s at $60
billion $10 billion right? Crazy, crazy, right. So mind blowing, mind
blowing, right? That’s only seven years ago, and it’s now like a few
percent of transactions for the dollar globally, right? It’ll become
everything in a few years, right? So why don’t we just wrap up lightning
round and so forth. I’ll just go through a bunch of different areas. Get
your thoughts on. Just give you a one word, and you can be in a few,
yeah, so on. Let’s see. We did a bit of bit of AI. So biotech, have you
thought about that all since your Google Cloud is
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:42:38
little bit of it little bit. What is interesting to me in biotech now
is, is it a long answer? You want a short answer?
Balaji Srinivasan 1:42:45
Give me the medium I’ve heard. Yeah. Okay,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:42:47
so in the context of India, what I didn’t know is that if you think
about imagining new molecules that we cure diseases, to building
chemistries for it, to testing it and then deploying and launching and
scaling it. If you think about the thinking of new molecules as a head,
India has the body. It doesn’t have the legs. Yet the body is turning
those ideas into chemistries, trying it out, and then doing animal
tests, and then first layer of human tests, and then pushing it back.
And they push it back to a Pfizer, or bodena, or whatever the US. And
the day they cover legs, they have the brains that tell an Indian
company what to build, any other five or 10 trickling chemistries you
should build, and then go test out. And then it’s a near, you know,
second stage, even trial or the approval stage. And it quite pushed back
the US, they finished the process. And for cancer, it will take five
years, or something simple, it’ll take few months. And then they go
prioritize, package, sell, manufacture and sell with llms. Now if you’re
starting to see is, there’s a recent paper that came out of Stanford two
months back, is that they tried out 7576 different modalities and
figured out, you know, I don’t know, binding efficiencies for each of
those who certain diseases and all of that. And then they came up with
two chemistries in six weeks, what used to take two to three years. And
then they actually had successful lab rat tests. So what’s interesting
to me right on biotech is that India did not have a head, but it had the
body. It didn’t have the legs. Now we have a head. So you could then
build a fully integrated biotech company out of India that does not yet
know how to personalize and sell and package it. But what they would do
is, you know what used to be called, what, I think more mostly like
contract, yeah, CROs Clos, yeah. No, you don’t have, you can take the
CRO that you can design your own drugs manufacture as you put it, push
it back to the US. This is,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:44:46
this is similar to how China started as, like, just main, you know, just
like a low end thing, and then eventually went up the value chain, and
actually the CEO around China, and so, correct? That’s right. That’s
interesting. Okay, that’s good. Um, so media, so one of my. Thesis is
India becomes a media superpower, but in the following sense, not in the
sense that Bollywood takes over the world, but rather that Indians are
very good at content creation and become a larger and larger and larger
percentage of content created online. Let me know your thoughts on
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:45:15
that. Yeah, they’re starting to see it. We actually backed a few
companies that are essentially calling creators, young kids creating
content and then publicizing it. So India is so digital native that many
people are choosing to go to as their primary job. YouTuber is becoming,
you know, a control phenomena. I do think, like I said earlier, Indians
are the best exports. So we, I’m trying to see Indians show up in movies
and TV series. And Never Have I Ever and we’ve applied, and that was not
normal 510 years, but now we’re popping up in big movies. So this
familiarity with the culture and sustaining face, I think, is quite
interesting. And now the content that is getting created in India, it
can potentially get vital in the US you’re seeing in gaming as well.
They are culturally relevant games about Mahabharata and Ramayana. They
are getting popular in India. The question is, can like the way Tanka is
popular everywhere in the world and we play games with North Scott
themes and so on? Can that ever go expand beyond India and become a
popular team in the US or Japan or Korea. I mean, it could be
interesting to see same with comic books. India has a really nice, nice
comic culture. It’s kind of died out over the last 1015, years, but it’s
picking up again that kept tool like companies coming up. And AI is the
thing that wave. And then they all very culturally Indian. And then can
you find, can you export that to the world, right in your stories? We
have a company called Pocket FM. And the guy, essentially, was traveling
in Indian railways. And then Indian railways have, you know, these are
all seven, 810, hour journeys. He will have these telawas, you know,
guys that sell Pocket Books, pocket babelas. They’re spicy stories,
romance, horror, love, adult fiction and endemic non fiction. So he was
really, you know, realized that Sheila could convert this stuff to
audiobooks, and he converted these to short, short form, but long
episodic audiobooks. And he just took off company called Pocket FM, and
they make 72 50 million revenue now, 70% of it is in the US Indian
company building, designing new short form novellas, you know, spicy
stories.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:47:25
And it’s basically, though, at global quality, it’s not, it’s not like
Indian accent. It’s not Indian only. That’s key thing. It’s YES
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:47:33
for, for, for audio, yep. And now they are waiting on AI because, you
know, initially you would have to have humans sitting in a broadcasting
room like that, you know, capture their voice and tone. And those 40,
50% gross margin takes a long while. There are contracts that you have
to do over time. You just get to 90% gross margin by just using AI to
create different synthetic voices in any language. And then the
interesting part of that is you can experiment in India, because the
population is large. And interestingly, if something spikes in India as
a story actually spikes in Germany, except then you convert to Germany,
you get to German. But it’s the same, same seven read stories in the
world that keep playing out love, loss, grief, you know, ambition,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:48:14
it’s culturally similar enough. See what’s interesting about that is, I
do feel China’s a Galapagos Islands, where the, you know, like the
animals are different there, you know, the ecosystem is different,
right? Like, for example, matuan is like a huge the equivalent of
Groupon in the US became a much bigger company in China. So they had a,
almost like a different evolutionary tree. Have you ever been to, like,
Socotra? No scotra is like this island in the Middle East, yeah, near
Yemen, yeah, that has a totally different, like, set of trees and the
ball walk trees and all that. Yeah, exactly anywhere else in the world,
right? And so it’s like a different uses. So China’s like that, where
stories that take off from China or vice versa don’t necessarily happen
the rest of world and etc. It’s relatively rare. There’s a story. But
the India is connect enough, because it’s English that it does. It is
correlated, let’s say Germany, yeah, and that’s a 95 Yeah, that’s
another thing that’s happening. India is pretty interesting. Okay, all
right, let me do two or three more space ISRO has actually done
surprisingly well. Uh, low cost launches are a thing, and so sort of
tell me, you know, have you talked about space? Or actually, Nicole me
and Sriram and several other people invest in that. If you know
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:49:19
that one like a space Yeah, fantastic company. And Nicole skyrode, we
invested in a company called pixel space to raise about 90, 95 million
high prospective
Balaji Srinivasan 1:49:28
satellites they can, sorry, I didn’t know if they’re a competitor with
all your colors.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:49:32
Oh, no, they’re not. Yeah, they might use Ed Nichols to go launch,
because they don’t do the launch stuff. They do the satellite and
payload stuff. But yeah, very cutting edge, and we were the first
institutional investors in any space company, four or five years ago, in
green 19. And now we, I think we have hundreds of companies building
space. And again, if you think about hundreds of companies, but hundreds
of companies building in space across launch vehicles, reusable launch
vehicle, the company called etherek set, also EMA, incredible stuff.
There is a propulsion system. Ns, there’s drum station, there’s
telematics, there’s satellite building. So this place, this sector, you
invest a fair business, or this road, whereas, yeah, we are very much.
We are really,
Balaji Srinivasan 1:50:10
I don’t think I rattle off all of those different subsections, like you
just said,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:50:13
Yes, yeah. So we, yeah, we have a pretty deep and sophisticated thesis
around space tech, because these role talent base is so strong, and then
the young entrepreneurs coming out of the work and join hands. And then,
you know, you know how much Indian Government base Israel is peanuts. So
you know, once they once they’ve done their duty, they learn their
lessons, they learn their skills, they are very happy to go work for a
private company. Now, interesting. And yes, you know, the Israel as
institution is also very supportive. They are offering labs for free to
test out, do turbo testing, vibration testing, space weakness testing
for satellites. Rocket is quite amazing to see.
Balaji Srinivasan 1:50:46
So, okay, that’s interesting. I learned something, and I knew ISO was
doing well. And when I know that hundreds of companies that’s really,
really cool,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:50:57
drones, drones, yeah, it’s a very interesting space. The company I
should check out is called airbound com. They’re building VTOL blended
wing body. So it’s a single, single blended body. There’s no moving
parts, and it takes VTOL, it takes off vertically and then
gyroscopically navigate itself to a horizontal glide path with things,
and it can cover about six to 70 kilometers. This is a company, the
ambassador, the preceded this raise from from Bucha, investors in the US
large seed round they’re doing. I think drone is an interesting space in
India, because, you know, traffic is just such a pain in the ass in
India. You if you really want to offer things of different varieties, a
quick commerce space. You have to take the aerial route. The road routes
are just too slow and too expensive, and regulation has been generally
quite positive in India. What doesn’t exist yet is a technology that can
scalably reliably go deliver things that are not 500 rounds. You know,
you got to get to three to five kgs for you to cover 4050, 60% of the
overall volume of deliveries you want to do to zoom. So 40, 50% of
consumer deliveries are some three kgs. So this company right now is
building a drone, one of the most advanced drones in the world that can
that has an LD ratio almost matching the best aircraft in the world. And
what he wants to do is to just build the best aircraft in the world and
just use it for drone deliveries. So the goal is to build the best
aircraft, the best lift and drag ratio, or the best
Balaji Srinivasan 1:52:42
way, like aircraft, aircraft or drone or delivery, drone delivery
aircraft.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:52:46
He’s building the best aircraft that is shaped like a drone, the size of
a drone, for deliverance, for delivery, so custom, built for a custom
output, air rules. But the goal is to build the absolute best, and
is
Balaji Srinivasan 1:52:57
drone delivery. I know drone delivery is actually live in China now.
Yeah, right. Is it there in India? Yeah. He’s doing,
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:53:02
he’s doing pilots in India right now, over there with a large healthcare
system. What is happening India that people don’t know about? Tech wise,
India is now coming to a point where people are building real world
class, first in the world of tech policies. The drone was an example of
that. The satellite company, ns, rocket companies are examples of that,
and there are many more that are coming. Semiconductor stuff that we’re
looking that seems like it’s very cutting edge. So there is, there is
absolutely intent, and there’s capital available, and there’s talent
that we believe is going to land India in a place where we are to know
what we’re doing, to know what innovation that, if it works, it can
actually really reshape industries. That wasn’t true 510, years ago, and
I would argue we still are a minuscule, minuscule percentage of what I
think the contribution to global ideas that needs to change. And I would
love for that to accelerate, and I’m trying to do some things to make
that much faster, but there are small pockets of fewer pockets. So they
are very deep pockets of innovation that are absolutely mandible but
this company that we just talked about, you’re coming with people that
are, that are leaders and, you know, senior developers at Tesla, at
SpaceX, Google’s wing, which is, let’s try to build exactly this 10
years ago, and couldn’t annual. And it was drone team leaders with us.
And this one at, you know, venture. So this stuff is really cutting
edge. So I think there are more and more pockets of that with young,
first time founders. This kid is in 719, now, when we invested, he was
17. There are more people like that coming out of the woodwork. I think
there’s quite people don’t know this, and I would love for that one.
Volume of people to be much more and back them more. And I would love
for more people to know that there is stuff like this coming out of
India. You’re not a software animation. We have a back office anymore.
We’re not just a consumer mask, consumer internet and E commerce
country, all of that. And that’s also deepening and broadening, but
we’re also this
Balaji Srinivasan 1:55:19
now. That’s really awesome. I think, I don’t think people, hey again, I
think it’s still under price. I think we that that story, like this kind
of stuff is awesome. This is that’s like, world class, right? And I
think the world class stuff people kind of knew Indians individually,
were doing that kind of stuff, you know? But I don’t think they realize
how much of a for lack of a term, not even bench isn’t even the right
term, how much in reserve there was within India. Yeah. Okay, awesome. I
mean, with that word by me, absolutely great. Cool.
Hemanth Mohapatra (Lightspeed India) 1:55:49
And you Bob, yes, I spoke Yes.